Falah Years
Retirement, understood earlier

Before you retire,
get to know your money.

Free educational writing for people approaching retirement in the United States. Understand the questions now, while there’s still time to think through your choices.

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When the market recovers, will your retirement account?

A falling market feels different when you’re using your savings to pay the bills. See how adding money, leaving it invested, and taking it out changed the results through the same historical years.

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A balance can recover before its buying power.

$50,000$150,0002000200520102013$100,000Starting level: $100,000Account balanceWhat it would buy, in 1999 dollars$107,804$89,9082006$62,574 in 2002$57,761 in 2008$163,128$117,806

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One untouched account, end-1999 to end-2013 $100,000 invested entirely in US stocks, with nothing added or withdrawn. The balance first exceeds $100,000 at end-2006; buying power first exceeds its starting level at end-2013. The lowest year-end balance occurs in 2002 and the lowest year-end buying power in 2008, 6 years apart.S&P 500 returns including reinvested dividends, from Aswath Damodaran at NYU Stern; CPI-U from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Buying power is expressed in end-1999 dollars. No fees or taxes. Full explanation and calculation code in the article.
How the work is checked

See the workings.
Know the limits.

The article includes its sources, assumptions, calculation code and fixed input data. Its figures have been checked against that dataset.

Those checks do not predict future results. AI readers reviewed the writing; a financial professional has not reviewed the article.

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In development · Not open yet

A tool for the years ahead.

A retirement tax-projection tool is being built to show how income and taxes could interact year by year, with the arithmetic and assumptions visible.

It is still being checked and will not open until a qualified professional has reviewed it.